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DTN Midday Livestock Comments 04/30 11:43
Traders Send the Livestock Complex Retreating
It's been a strenuous day for the livestock contracts as all three of the
markets are currently trading lower and given the degree to which traders have
sent the contracts tumbling lower -- weaker trade is likely to remain in the
market through closing.
ShayLe Stewart
DTN Livestock Analyst
GENERAL COMMENTS:
The livestock complex has been under pressure since Tuesday's start and as
the market nears Tuesday's noon hour -- the intensity of the market's technical
pressure has only grown stronger. No asking prices are noted yet in the cash
cattle market, but trade will likely be delayed until the second half of the
week. July corn is down 4 cents per bushel and July soybean meal is down $5.60.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 305.32 points.
LIVE CATTLE:
It's been a tough go thus far throughout Tuesday's trade for the live cattle
complex as the contracts are trading fully lower and traders don't seem
interested in focusing on anything but the market's pressure. Whether the
downturn is stemming from the announcement that HPAI has been detected in some
dairy cattle in Colorado, or from lousy boxed beef movement -- the day's
pressure is being severely felt throughout the cattle complex. June live cattle
are down $2.27 at $174.87, August live cattle are down $2.47 at $173.20 and
October live cattle are down $2.65 at $177.12. No bids or asking prices have
surfaced yet this week and trade will likely be delayed until Thursday or
Friday.
Midday boxed beef prices are mixed: choice down $1.49 ($296.04) and select
up $0.70 ($290.91) with a movement of 56 loads (28.90 loads of choice, 10.66
loads of select, zero loads of trim and 16.19 loads of ground beef).
FEEDER CATTLE:
With the live cattle market trading mostly $2.00 lower into Tuesday
afternoon -- the feeder cattle market waived its white flag early on and is
trading mostly $3.00 lower into the noon hour. May feeders are down $3.05 at
$244.97, August feeders are down $3.60 at $256.02 and September feeders are
down $3.57 at $257.15. Today's descent could be stemming from the announcement
that HPAI has been detected in some dairy cows in Colorado.
LEAN HOGS:
The lean hog complex attempted to trade higher, but the market quickly sank
back lower and is entering Tuesday's noon hour lower in the nearby contracts,
but slightly higher in the market's furthest deferred months. June lean hogs
are down $0.35 at $102.12, July lean hogs are down $0.47 at $104.97 and August
lean hogs are down $0.20 at $103.47. Cash interest was stronger this morning as
over 2,000 head have already traded. If cash support and pork cutout values can
round out the day higher then Wednesday's market may stand a better chance at
trading higher.
The projected lean hog index for 4/29/2024 is down $0.10 at $90.26 and the
actual index for 4/26/2024 is down $0.52 at $90.36. Hog prices on the Daily
Direct Morning Hog Report average $90.72, ranging from $82.00 to $92.00 on
2,906 head and a five-day rolling average of $90.49. Pork cutouts total 148.22
loads with 135.48 loads of pork cuts and 12.74 loads of trim. Pork cutout
values: down $0.28, $98.72.
ShayLe Stewart can be reached at ShayLe.Stewart@dtn.com
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